TheDailyPicture Friday, 5th Sept. 2008

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Market Commentary : GBP/USD 1-Hour chart
After several breakout attempts and swingy consolidative moves, Pound has once again been rejected by immediate resistance and hit a 2-year low against USD. This week has been marked by a very volatile & spikied price action, and it'll still be seen due to today NFP's.
 
NFP usually brings spikied price moves, our advice is to await the spike and use a buy-low sell high strategy. Once one of the spike limits has been broken, follow the move and take profit on intraday trendlines.
 
To the downside, the day opened on a 150 pips fall. Main support is at 1.7530/45, and a sustained break lower may send the Pound to new lows : 1.7490 and 1.4720 are possible targets on short-term. However, be aware about reversals at day lows.
 
To the upside, if no new lows are seen and/or if a rejection from lows occurs, we may have a spike higher towards pre-data levels. Then, sustained break above 1.7640/50 minor resistance zone will lead to a test of main intraday resistance at 1.7695. Break above this levels targts 1.7740/60 falling channel highs. We do not expect a break hgher, but if it occurs, 1.7820 may be touched, where good offers stands..
 
 
Indicator's Status :
 
- Slow MACD crossed positive but remain below 0 : Bias remain neutral to negative. Spikied counter-trend moves may be seen.
 
- Fast stochastic still in a negative cycle, corrective mode. Bias remain neutral to negative. Waiting for negative cross for downside, waiting for overbought fluttering on bullish move.
 
- Both RSI and W%R neutral to negative. Bias remain negative. Monitor overbought/sold status according to price level to determine intraday trend continuation or reversal.
 

Kind Regards,

Chief Trader
TradeThePound.com Management Staff

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