TheDailyPicture Monday, 1st Sept. 2008





Market Commentary : GBP/USD 1-Hour chart
GBPUSD opened the week below consolidation flag started last week, and below 1.8160 weekly support.. Downside continuation is favoured, but oversold oscillators may bring buying attempts. however, today is a holiday and US markets are closed. It may limit volatility.
 
To the downside, the 1-Hour chart shows Pound is consolidate in a small channel, witch is a continuation pattern.  The 1.7980 - 1.8005 support zone is the intraday support to monitor. A break below support will send price to 23.6% fib. projection at 1.7810 initially, then 1.7680 daily support, where profit may be taken.
 
To the upside, if a rebound on support zone is seen, consolidation may extend towards first resistance zone at 1.8070/90, running towards 23.6% fib. retracement and bollinger bands at 1.8100/20. However, only a break above this reisistance zone will let price correct towards main broken triangle at 1.8170, where a rejection is expected.
 
 
Indicator's Status :
 
- Slow MACD crossed positive but remain below 0 : Bias remain neutral to negative. Spikied counter-trend moves may be seen.
 
- Fast stochastic still in a negative cycle, and approach neutral zone while price stays in the consolidation pattern. Bias remain neutral to negative. Waiting for negative cross.
 
- Both RSI and W%R in sell-mode. Bias remain negative. Monitor overbought status.
 

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Kind Regards,

Chief Trader
TradeThePound.com Management Staff

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